Premier League bets: Back 7/1 Tottenham beat Chelsea by one goal | Soccer News
After a 7/1 winner last weekend to take it to +49 profit for the season, Jones Knows wants to back Tottenham at Chelsea.
How did our bets go last weekend?
I was left John Travolta-ing everywhere Saturday and Sunday this weekend against the backdrop of the Trammps hit Disco Inferno. You know. “Burn, baby, burn – Disco Inferno.”
This act of 1970s nostalgia was a tribute to Dan Burn’s heading ability for Brighton on Friday Night Football, who landed us a lovely 7/1 winner by forcing a header on target against Crystal Palace.
There’s nothing more satisfying than a game-winning punt inspired by the centre-back.
I have no God. But in difficult times, I turn to Burn, Shane Duffy, Yerry Mina and others for comfort. Real heroes for the most part.
I haven’t enjoyed watching Chelsea’s attacking process for two months now and if you read between the lines Thomas Tuchel’s recent comments, he would agree. In their last 11 Premier League games, Tuchel’s side have averaged just 1.5 expected goals per 90 minutes – a relatively high figure but not for a side that are expected to challenge Manchester City and Liverpool, who are both average north of 2.1 per 90 minutes. .
The chances created by open play are also trending downward for Chelsea – a common theme in their performance at Brighton. In those 11 matches, Chelsea managed just 8.4 shots from open play per 90 minutes, which is eleventh best of any Premier League side. Spurs are at the top of this particular metric with Manchester City (13.4).
It’s this lack of fluidity in the frontcourts that makes Tuchel’s side very vulnerable at 8/13 with Sky Bet. Chelsea have won just four of their last 13 Premier League games, dropping 20 points in that span. And, against a fluid attacking opponent like Tottenham, who average an expected 2.5 goals per 90 minutes in their last seven games and were dangerous from every angle in their incredible 3-2 success at Leicester on Wednesday, Chelsea just have to be faced at the prices.
Many of you will be shouting at me right now for pointing out that Chelsea have lost just one of their last 31 league meetings at home to Spurs, winning 20 and winning rather comfortably 3-0 on aggregate in the half. -two-legged Carabao Cup final. final. Still, Spurs shot themselves in the foot in the cup encounter, making basic mistakes to help Chelsea on their way and, more importantly, we can get 9/2 on an away win here. . With Chelsea’s defense still among the best in the Premier League and Spurs very unlikely to run away with the game, I’m happy to be greedy on the upside backing Antonio Conte’s men to win by one goal at 7/1.
Newcastle are going to fall into a big Leeds trap here.
To stifle Marcelo Bielsa’s side you need to take the sting out of the game, make it scrappy and defend aggressively. It’s just not Eddie Howe’s style. He will match the Elland Road side with the hope that his attacking players can produce more quality in the final third.
In matches like these where Leeds are up against a genuine relegation-threatened side, it’s certainly worth backing them up as their man-to-man style usually sees their extra quality shine through. Since promotion, in 13 appearances against teams from the bottom five of the Premier League, Leeds have won 10 goals on 27 occasions.
All the ingredients should result in a very watchable end-to-end football game with both defenses likely to wilt under any sort of intense pressure. Only Norwich have scored more goals than Leeds (39) and Newcastle (42) this season, with the Bielsa boys having conceded 19 in their last six games. A lack of organization from set pieces returns for Leeds, but this is offset by a return to a fluidity in attack that once again resembles a Bielsa side, scoring six goals in their last two games against Burnley and West Ham and registering 40 moves in the process.
A shooting fest is expected with the last three matches between these producing 39, 31 and 35 match shots in total. An equally explosive encounter is expected and I am happy to take Sky Bet’s special award of 9/2 for Leeds to win, both teams to score and the match to produce 30 or more shots.