Who will replace Boris Johnson? What three key charts tell us about who will be the next prime minister | Political news

It’s the end of the first week of the Conservative leadership race and five candidates remain in contention to become the country’s next prime minister.

Rishi Sunak, Penny Mordaunt, Liz Truss, Kemi Badenoch and Tom Tugendhat are fighting to succeed Boris Johnson after gaining sufficient support in the first two rounds of voting.

The candidates now compete in a series of live televised debates, including a on Sky News on Tuesday, before the number of suitors is reduced again.

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The final two hopefuls will emerge by the end of next week and then face a summer of jostling as Conservative Party members have the chance to decide who will be the next prime minister. September 5.

But who should emerge victorious?

Second round result

Rishi Sunak and Penny Mordaunt maintained their place at the top of the leaderboard in first and second place respectively after the second round of voting.

Foreign Secretary Liz Truss came third, with 64 votes, against 83 for Ms Mordaunt and 101 for Mr Sunak.

Kemi Badenoch and Tom Tugendhat are also still in contention, finishing fourth and fifth respectively.

Attorney General Suella Braverman was eliminatedand has since given her support to Ms Truss.

Bookmakers odds

Some Tory MPs have claimed she falls short, but she’s a dark horse and relatively unknown Penny Mordaunt who, according to the bookmakers, will emerge as the winner.

Betting odds predict she has a greater than 50% chance of winning the election, compared to 34.7% for Mr Sunak and 19% for Ms Truss.

Despite being a favorite of right-wing Tory MPs, the odds of Kemi Badenoch becoming the next Prime Minister were just 4% on Saturday.

And although he thinks he will win the racebookmakers believe outsider Tom Tugendhat has just a 2.6% chance of succeeding Mr Johnson.

Read more:
Why expect a surprise in the Conservative leadership race
Where are the competitors on taxation, Brexit and the cost of living?

Who do the party members want?

While former Chancellor Mr Sunak has the most support among Tory MPs, it is ultimately Conservative Party members who will choose their next leader, and therefore the Prime Minister.

A YouGov snap poll from that group on Wednesday found Ms Mordaunt the new favorite to be leader, with previous favorite choice Ben Wallace declining to run.

The Trade Secretary appeared on Sky News today and claimed other candidates were trying to stop her making the final round because she’s the one they fear the most to face one-on-one.

The YouGov poll of members who want to be Prime Minister showed Ms Mordaunt convincingly leading the list at 27%.

Ms Badenoch came a distant second with 15%, followed by Rishi Sunak and Liz Truss with 13% each and Tom Tugendhat with 8%.

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Edward L. Robinett